Broadcom‘s Hock Tan: AI Revenue to Double?

Broadcom (AVGO) added a fourth major customer for its custom AI chips, potentially doubling its AI revenue next year, according to analysts. CEO Hock Tan's announcement sent Broadcom shares soaring, while competitors saw declines. The new deal is projected to generate $10 billion in revenue.

Broadcom (AVGO) experienced a significant stock surge following the announcement of a fourth major customer for its custom artificial intelligence chips. CEO Hock Tan revealed the news during the company’s earnings call, stating that this addition, along with three existing clients, will significantly boost production.

This new customer is expected to contribute $10 billion in revenue, commencing shipments in the second half of fiscal year 2026. Analysts at Rosenblatt Securities described this rapid progression from prospect to significant revenue generator as unusual. They remain optimistic about Broadcom‘s ability to convert additional prospects into paying clients.

Several analysts have revised their revenue projections upward. The team at TD Cowen anticipates a 100% increase in Broadcom‘s AI chip revenue for the next fiscal year, citing the company’s strong language regarding its AI opportunities and the influx of new customers. This surpasses Broadcom‘s prior projection of a 60% increase.

Melius Research analysts increased their estimate for Broadcom‘s AI chip revenue in fiscal year 2026 from $30 billion to over $40 billion. They now project 108% revenue growth for 2026. Although they tempered expectations for fiscal 2027 due to the project’s early stage, they acknowledge the potential for exceptionally high revenue in subsequent years.

Bernstein analysts noted the striking similarity between Broadcom‘s current trajectory and that of its primary graphics processing unit competitor, Nvidia, in its early AI boom. They believe Broadcom‘s success could be equally substantial.

The identity of the fourth customer remains undisclosed, although the Financial Times reported that OpenAI is developing its own AI chip, co-designed with Broadcom, to lessen its reliance on Nvidia.

The positive market sentiment surrounding Broadcom contrasts with the negative reaction experienced by competitors Nvidia (NVDA) and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD). Investors appear concerned about Broadcom‘s growing market share in AI chips, which are seen as rivals to graphics processing units.

Despite missing data-center revenue expectations in its latest report, Nvidia still recorded robust year-over-year growth. However, this growth rate is less than the triple-digit growth experienced during the initial stages of its AI boom.

Melius Research analysts recommend investing in Broadcom, Nvidia, and Arista Networks (ANET), asserting that the current scale of AI spending across many companies makes concerns about Broadcom‘s impact on competitors premature.

Hock Tan‘s announcement that he will remain Broadcom‘s CEO until at least 2030 further bolstered investor confidence. Bernstein analysts see this as a sign of significant long-term opportunities. The impact of this new customer and Tan‘s continued leadership is expected to shape Broadcom‘s future significantly.

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